According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to 44,397, an increase of 447 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 445 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4) on May 5. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report. That curve continues to increase, but the number of new COVID cases (Chart 3) identified each day has been slowly decreasing. Note that this five day rolling average causes these daily case and the daily death charts to lag two days behind.

It should be noted that the May 4 data from the State may not be complete. According to the State, there were software issues that kept some backlogged data from being uploaded on May 4. For some counties, total COVID cases reported on May 4 were less that what was reported on May 3. For such instances (Livingston, Macomb and Oakland counties) we kept the May 4 total COVID cases the same as May 3. Additionally, the data uploaded for May 5 contains 18 hours worth of data, as opposed to 24 hours, due to some of the early data being uploaded late on May 4.

Chart 2 reflects the five-day rolling averages at the County level and for the City of Detroit. Although the overall number of COVID cases across the region continues to increase, the rate of increase has been declining. Detroit still has the highest number of reported COVID cases at 9,329 on May 3, with Wayne County following at a reported 7,887 cases. On May 3, the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 7,491, and Macomb County reported 5,718.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State.

The City of Detroit had 1,401 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 5, an increase from 1,397 the day before (Chart 4). This is based upon a reported increase of 30 new cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 9,424. Wayne County reported 1,184 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 1,118 cases per 100,000 people. These per capita rates were based upon 7,967 total cases for Wayne and 7,522 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 861 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 5,756 cases.

Chart 5 shows that the number of new daily COVID cases has dramatically decreased across the region. On May 5 Detroit reported a rate of 4 new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 30 new cases. Wayne and Macomb counties also reported rates of 4 new daily COVID cases per 100,000 people, with that being equivalent to 47 new cases for Wayne County (the highest in the region) and 33 new cases for Macomb. Oakland County had the lowest per capita rate at 0 new cases per 100,000 people; the County reported 4 new cases on May 5. Monroe County reported the highest per capita rate at 5 new cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 7 new cases.

The State’s per capita rate was 4.4 new cases per 100,000 people, equivalent to 447 new cases.

In Chart 6 the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths shows a continuing steady increase (a lagged number of 4,050 deaths, an increase of 69 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 deaths reached 4,179 on May 5, an increase of 44 deaths from the day prior. Of these, 35 of which were in Southeastern Michigan, and 11 in Detroit. Of those 44 deaths, 8 were identified by reviewing death certificates and the COVID databases and did not occur on the date on which the dataset was collected. Chart 7, a five-day rolling average chart, shows the number of daily additional deaths has been declining overall since April 23. The last time the State reported 69 deaths on a single day was April 1. The trends in Chart 9 further that the number of additional daily deaths at the State level has been declining.

Chart 8, a five-day rolling average for the number of COVID deaths by each county, shows how the number of deaths in Detroit had been rising at a more rapid rate than the other government entities in the region, but now is rising less rapidly. This chart now indicates that the rate of increase for the number of deaths in Detroit has been declining. The rate of increase in the number of daily deaths has been declining across the region, but Wayne County is now adding more daily deaths than Detroit. Of the three largest counties and Detroit, Macomb County’s total number of COVID deaths is increasing at the slowest rate.

Chart 9 shows that Detroit, Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties have all experienced a decline in the number of new reported daily deaths, with Detroit experiencing the steepest decline. Wayne County now has the highest number of daily COVID deaths, while Detroit and Oakland County have the same number. Macomb County now has below 10 reported daily deaths. The last time the number of daily deaths were reported as low as they were on May 3 was on April 1.

Chart 10 shows the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people. As of May 5 Detroit cumulative total was 163 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (representing 1,108 deaths). In Wayne County there were 123 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (837 total deaths), in Oakland County there were 113 deaths per 100,000 people (772 total deaths), and in Macomb County there were 96 COVID deaths per 1000,000 people (647 total). The State of Michigan had 42 COVID deaths per 100,000 people, a rate that continues to remain lower than the four entities discussed above.

The fatality rates in Detroit and Macomb County remained above 11 percent on May 5; they were reported at 11.8 percent and 11.2 percent, respectively. Wayne County’s fatality rate is also moving in that direction; it was 10.5 percent on May 5. The fatality rate for the State of Michigan was 9.4 percent on May 5; this rate has also been gradually increasing. One reason we may be seeing such high fatality rates in Michigan is due to the low testing rates. When only having-presumably-a lower of number confirmed COVID cases than is actually likely due to the scarce availability of tests, the fatality rate appears higher because the base comparison is smaller than it might be.

The number of COVID deaths continue to decline throughout Southeastern Michigan and the State. Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan recently told the media that the number of COVID deaths in the City is declining at a faster rate than nearly any other City in the Country. He attributed this to a continued commitment to social distancing and residents wearing face masks in public. We do know that social distancing continues to work as officials are now reporting that 10 percent of individuals tested for COVID at the State Fair site in Detroit are testing positive, according to a recent media report. However, a decline in the spread doesn’t mean that social distancing restrictions should be loosened. Area health departments are anticipating a second wave of infection at some point in the near future, and to curb its impact we must remain vigilant.

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to a total of 42,356, an increase of 977 cases from the previous day. This total was equivalent to 424 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4) on May 1. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing and/or the quality of reporting or failure to report. That curve is moving steadily upward. Note that this five day rolling average causes  these daily case and the daily death charts to lag two days behind.

Chart 2 reflects the five-day rolling averages at the County level and for the City of Detroit. Detroit and Wayne County continue to pull above the other entities in the region with COVID case numbers and reported the highest number of cases at 8,933 and 7,514 on April 29, respectively. On April 29 the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 7,155 and for Macomb County the reported number was 5,450.

Chart 3 shows that the number of new confirmed cases in Wayne County leveled off, but remains higher than anywhere else in the region. Detroit, Oakland and Macomb counties all experienced increases in the number of reported new daily COVID cases.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data were supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State.

The City of Detroit had 1,362 COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 1, an increase from 1,346 the day before (Chart 4). This is based upon a reported increase of 105 new cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 9,162. Wayne County reported 1,161 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 1,104 cases per 100,000 people. These May 1 per capita rates were based upon 7,808 total cases for Wayne and 7,423 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 836 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 5,623 cases.

Chart 5 shows that Detroit had the highest per capita rate of new daily COVID cases, but Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties were not far behind. Additionally, Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties all had rates that were the same, or close. Detroit had 16 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 105 new cases, fewer than Wayne, Oakland or Macomb. Wayne and Macomb counties had 13 new COVID cases per 100,000 people on May 1 and Oakland County had 12 new COVID cases per 100,000 people. This translates to 136 new cases for Wayne County on May 1, 110 for Macomb and 156 for Oakland. Macomb and Monroe counties rates increased at the highest rates, by 4, and the rates in St. Clair and Washtenaw counties decreased.

The State’s per capita rate was 9.7 new cases per 100,000 people, equivalent to 977 new cases.

In Chart 6 the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths shows a continuing steady increase (a lagged number of 3,660 deaths, an increase of 110 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 deaths reached 3,866 on May 1, an increase of 77 deaths from the day prior. Chart 7, a five-day rolling average chart, shows how the new data reflects a recent uptick in the number of additional deaths statewide; this is likely, at least in part, related to the additional deaths accounted for earlier in the week as a result of death certificate and COVID database comparisons.

Chart 8, a five-day rolling average for the number of COVID deaths by each county, shows how the number of deaths in Detroit continue to rise at a more rapid rate than any of the other government entities in the region. Detroit also continues to have the highest number of COVID deaths. Note that this may soon begin to change, because as indicated below, there is a substantial and continuing drop in new deaths in Detroit. Second to Detroit, Wayne County has among the highest number of total reported COVID deaths, and those numbers are increasing at a rate faster than Macomb and Oakland counties. The rate at which total deaths in Oakland County are increasing has remained consistent for the last four days; that rate was consistently below the rate of increase for Detroit and Wayne County, and even Macomb County at times.

Chart 9 shows a steep decline in the number of daily deaths in Detroit, a decline that has been occurring for over a week now. Though these numbers still remain higher than the counties there was a recent uptick in the number of daily deaths in Wayne and Macomb counties. The number of additional deaths for Oakland County remains flat.

Chart 10 represents the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people. For Detroit on May 1 there were 155 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (representing 1,040 deaths). In Wayne County there were 113 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (762 total deaths), in Oakland County there were 105 deaths per 100,000 people (705 total deaths), and in Macomb County there were 91 COVID deaths per 1000,000 people on May 1 (614 total). The State of Michigan had 39 COVID deaths per 100,000 people, a rate that continues to remain lower than the four entities discussed above. On May 1 Wayne County had the highest number of additional daily deaths at 15, Detroit reported 5.

The fatality rates in Detroit and Macomb County leveled off on May 1, hovering around 11 percent (Detroit’s was 11.4%, Macomb’s was 11%). For Oakland County and the State of Michigan there was a small decrease in the fatality rates. The reported fatality rate for the State on May 1 was 9.1 percent; Oakland’s rate was 9.5 percent.

The number of new COVID deaths in Detroit continues to decrease while the surrounding counties are overall flattening out with their death numbers. Even though there have been recent upticks in reported cases numbers and deaths in areas of Southeastern Michigan, those increases are much smaller than what we were seeing just weeks ago. Just such information continues to provide hope that the spread of the virus continues to decrease, but that hope derives from the strict stay at home policies that limit infections.

According to the State of Michigan, the total number of COVID cases in Michigan rose to a total of 41,379, an increase of 980 cases from the previous day. This total  was equivalent to 414 cases per 100,000 people (Chart 4) on April 30. The five-day rolling average for the total number of COVID cases (Chart 1) reflects a smoother curve and adjusts for fluctuations in testing or the quality of reporting or failure to report. The five day rolling average means  our daily case and death charts lags two days behind.

Chart 2 reflects the five-day rolling averages at the County level and for the City of Detroit.  We continue to see Detroit and Wayne County having the highest number of cases at 8,823 and 7,380 on April 28, respectively.  The chart also highlights how Wayne County continues to pull above Oakland County. Up until about a week ago the number of cases in Wayne County was on par with or below those in Oakland County. This shows that the spread of the virus is increasing in Wayne County and slowing down in Oakland County. On April 28 the five-day rolling average for the number of COVID cases in Oakland County was 7,056. The number of reported cases in Macomb County was 5,366.

Chart 3 shows that the number of new confirmed cases in Wayne County increased while they began to slightly level off in Oakland County. Detroit also experienced a recent plateau while the number of new cases in Macomb County decreased.

The daily data highlighted in these posts is from Michigan.gov/coronavirus, where data is updated daily at 3 p.m. Historical data was supplied from covidtracking.com, which republishes COVID data from the State.

The City of Detroit had 1,346 COVID cases per 100,000 people on April 30, an increase from 1,332 the day before (Chart 4). This is based upon a reported increase of 100 new cases, bringing the total number of COVID cases in Detroit to 9,057. Wayne County reported 1,141 cases per 100,000 people, and Oakland County had 1,080 cases per 100,000 people. These April 30 per capita rates were based upon 7,672 total cases for Wayne and 7,267 for Oakland. Macomb County reported 820 cases per 100,000 people, which is based upon 5,513 cases.

Chart 5 shows that Detroit and Wayne County had the highest number of new COVID cases per 100,000 people on April 30. Detroit had 15 new COVID cases per 100,000 people, which was equivalent to 100 new cases, and Wayne County continued to have 13 new cases per 100,000 people which was equivalent to 135 new cases. Both Detroit and Wayne County experienced a decline in the rate and the number of new daily cases. Similarly, Oakland and Macomb counties also experienced declines in their per capita rates of new COVID cases per 100,000 people; the per capita rate for both counties was 9, which was equivalent to 108 new cases in Oakland County and 83 new cases in Macomb County on April 30. Detroit experienced the largest decline in the number of new cases while Oakland and Wayne counties experienced a decline at the same rate. St. Clair and Washtenaw counties both experienced increases in the rate of new cases.

The State’s per capita rate was 9.8 new cases per 100,000 people, equivalent to 980 new cases.

In Chart 6 the five-day rolling average for the number of deaths shows a continuing steady increase (a lagged number of 3,550 deaths, an increase of 103 deaths). The actual reported COVID-19 deaths reached 3,789 on April 30, an increase of 119 deaths from the day prior. Of those 119 new deaths 40 are a result of the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services comparing death certificates with the COVID database so they are not reflective of deaths from the day before. Chart 7, a five-day rolling average chart, shows how the new data reflects a continued decline in the number of additional deaths statewide.

Chart 8, a five-day rolling average for the number of COVID deaths by each county, shows how the number of deaths in Detroit continues to rise at a more rapid rate than any of the other government entities in the region. Detroit also continues to have the highest number of COVID deaths. Wayne, Oakland and Macomb counties all fall behind Detroit regarding total reported death numbers; those numbers are increasing at a slower rate than Detroit too.

Chart 9 shows a steep decline in the number of daily deaths in Detroit. These numbers still remain higher than the counties. For Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties there has been a leveling off in the number of additional deaths. All of these factors play into the overall decline in the State’s additional COVID death totals.

Chart 10 represents the total number of COVID deaths per 100,000 people. For Detroit on April 30 there were 154 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (representing 1,035 deaths). In Wayne County there were 111 COVID deaths per 100,000 people (747 total deaths), in Oakland County there were 103 deaths per 100,000 people (696 total deaths), and in Macomb County there were 90 COVID deaths per 1000,000 people on April 30 (603 total). The State of Michigan continued to have 38 COVID deaths per 100,000 people, a number which was lower than the four entities discussed above. Wayne and Oakland counties both had the highest number of additional deaths on April 30 at 28 each, Detroit reported 27, and Macomb County reported 6.

The fatality rate in the City of the Detroit increased to 11.4 percent on April 30 while Macomb County’s remained at 11 percent for the second day in a row. The fatality rate for the State slightly decreased to 9.2 percent. The fatality rates for Monroe and St. Clair counties are declining.

Overall, the reported number of new daily cases and deaths is slowing down, and even declining in some areas. This means the Stay at Home Order issued by the Governor is having an impact. In order to see a decline throughout the State though we must continue to be diligent in remaining home and only leaving out of necessity.